Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Grigor Dimitrov		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
61.5%

Brandon Nakashima
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 15. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.

Dimitrov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dimitrov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
01.09.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima	0:3
ATP Roma
10.05.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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