Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Campistol J. (Esp)


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.68	2.15	Watch
	1.73	2.23
	1.74	2.23
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.7	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
56.6%

Brandon Nakashima
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	5.3%	26.3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Etcheverry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakashima is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Etcheverry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Nicolas Jarry - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
06.04.24	Ben Shelton - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWL?
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.24	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

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