Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.56
			Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.18)	2.47 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
61.4%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Brandon Nakashima - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 12.5 Games, 2nd Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brandon Nakashima will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 31. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.33%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.25	Alexander Zverev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Learner Tien - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Roman Safiullin - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Damir Dzumhur	1:3 ✺
25.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Zizou Bergs	3:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches