Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Jacob Fearnley		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.68)	1.88 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
49.7%

Brandon Nakashima
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacob Fearnley's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Nakashima (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Fearnley (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 4 - 50%). Nakashima (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 55. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.

Fearnley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nakashima is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.59%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Jacob Fearnley	3:0 ✺
29.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Ugo Humbert	Humbert U. retired ✺
26.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 L?WLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Raphael Collignon - Brandon Nakashima	Collignon R. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Brandon Nakashima - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Brandon Nakashima - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LL?LW

Upcoming Matches