Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Simon P. (Ger)


	Brandon Nakashima		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.62
	2.4	1.62
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.86)	1.62 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
42%

Mariano Navone
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Brandon Nakashima - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nakashima is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Navone to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
06.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Brandon Nakashima - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LWWL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Mariano Navone - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW

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