Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.59	2.54
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.57	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.77)	2.53 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
62.6%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Martin Etcheverry's performance.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Merida Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Martin Etcheverry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Merida Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 30. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 82.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Etcheverry could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53.28%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.72%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Nuno Borges	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Umag
14.07.26	Ziga Sesko - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
29.06.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Ugo Carabelli C. Retired ✺
ATP London
13.06.26	Martin Damm - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WL?LL

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide