Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Bublik		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.57	2.40	Watch
	1.60	2.50
	1.51	2.56	Watch
	1.56	2.50	Watch
	1.58	2.53	Watch
	1.50	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.42)	2.49 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
61.6%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martin Etcheverry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Alexander Bublik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23 Games - under (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 11. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 31.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 68.23%, but this team recently wins 85% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:0
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alexander Bublik	1:2

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