Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78	Watch
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2.13	1.79
	1.99	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.59)	1.76 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
46.1%

Lorenzo Sonego
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bu Yunchaokete's performance.

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Sonego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bu Yunchaokete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Sonego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 9 - 25%). Sonego will win (votes: 27 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunchaokete (votes: 8 - 40%). Sonego (votes: 12 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Yunchaokete (3.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Sonego (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Yunchaokete (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunchaokete (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Sonego (votes: 13 - 56.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 76. Sonego is ranked ATP: 38.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Yunchaokete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sonego might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Vit Kopriva - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	David Goffin - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
16.07.25	Emilio Nava - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Alan Magadan - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
03.07.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Nikoloz Basilashvili	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW

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