Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Alex De Minaur		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.19	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.84
	1.22	4.28	Watch
	1.22	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.15)	4.49 ↓ (5)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
78.8%

Bu Yunchaokete
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Yunchaokete (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 89.

In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yunchaokete has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yunchaokete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Michael Agwi - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Peter Buldorini - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Valentin Royer - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
23.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0

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