Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Calvin Hemery		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
43.5%

Ignacio Buse
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calvin Hemery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Buse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Calvin Hemery - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hemery (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Calvin Hemery will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 171. Buse is ranked ATP: 210.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Buse will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Calvin Hemery - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Calvin Hemery - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Federico Coria - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Calvin Hemery - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Daniel Rincon - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

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