Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday


	Cameron Norrie		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.64	Watch
	2.29	1.7
	2.18	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.83)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
43%

Alex Michelsen
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cameron Norrie's form might have worsened.

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Michelsen will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 61. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 37.

Recent matches Norrie is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Norrie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Delray Beach
12.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Zachary Svajda - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Delray Beach
12.02.25	Michael Mmoh - Alex Michelsen	Mmoh M. retired ✺
ATP Dallas
04.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
31.01.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alex Michelsen	Canceled ✺
30.01.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 ?L?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
04.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	2:1

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