Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Berrettini		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.36
	1.55	2.37	Watch
			Watch
	1.66	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	2.24 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
57.4%

Cameron Norrie
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Norrie will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Norrie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 59. Norrie is ranked ATP: 35.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Berrettini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Berrettini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Matteo Berrettini - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Adrian Mannarino - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Cameron Norrie - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	3:1
ATP London
20.06.21	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	2:1

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