Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
Hungary	Max
Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK


	Alex Michelsen		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.95	1.26	Watch
	3.9	1.3
	3.65	1.28	Watch
	4	1.25
	4.03	1.29	Watch
	3.95	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4)	1.27 ↑ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
24.7%

Alex De Minaur
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

76.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.5%	0%	42.5%

Alex Michelsen - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). De Minaur will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 42.2% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 42. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.

Michelsen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

De Minaur is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
15.01.25	Alex Michelsen - James McCabe	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex Michelsen	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur	1:3 ✺
15.01.25	Tristan Boyer - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
14.01.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
01.01.25	Billy Harris - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Alex De Minaur - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Alex De Minaur - Alex Michelsen	3:0
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Alex Michelsen	0:2

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