Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ...


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.23	1.65
	2.2	1.65
	2.27	1.7
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
43.7%

Aslan Karatsev
56.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Camilo Ugo Carabelli aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Aslan Karatsev aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 27 - 60%). Karatsev will win (votes: 18 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 45.7% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karatsev is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.22	Alexander Ritschard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
18.05.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ernesto Escobedo	Escobedo E. retired ✺
17.05.22	Yuichi Sugita - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.22	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
09.05.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 W?WLW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Lyon
15.05.22	Adrian Mannarino - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.22	Novak Djokovic - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
08.05.22	Lloyd Harris - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Aslan Karatsev - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Belgrade
21.04.22	Oscar Otte - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	✺

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Aslan Karatsev