Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.3	1.38
	2.9	1.4
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.69)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
31.1%

Dusan Lajovic
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	0%	86.2%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: Dusan Lajovic will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Lajovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lajovic is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Santiago
26.02.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Rio de Janeiro
24.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
23.02.23	Laslo Djere - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
22.02.23	Dusan Lajovic - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Dusan Lajovic	0:2

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