Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rosario 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	20:30	Veikkaus TV


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.05
	1.84	2.04
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.76	1.9	Watch
	1.68	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.31)	2.07 ↓ (3.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
54.8%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	0%	85.2%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 23 - 88.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 76.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 48. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 301.

Diaz Acosta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marton Fucsovics	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Louis Dussin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
25.02.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0
ATP Challenger
25.10.22	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled
20.10.22	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0
28.04.22	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2
ATP Cordoba
21.02.21	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	✺

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Diaz Acosta