Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	22:35	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	22:35	HBO Max
Bulgaria	23:35	HBO Max
Croatia	22:35	HBO Max
Czech Republic	22:35	HBO Max
Denmark	22:35	HBO Max
Finland	23:35	HBO Max
France	22:35	HBO Max
Hungary	22:35	HBO Max
Moldova	23:35	HBO Max
Montenegro	22:35	HBO Max
Netherlands	22:35	HBO Max
North Macedonia	22:35	HBO Max
Norway	22:35	HBO Max
Poland	22:35	HBO Max
Romania	23:35	HBO Max
Serbia	22:35	HBO Max
Slovenia	22:35	HBO Max
Spain	22:35	HBO Max
Sweden	22:35	HBO Max


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.11	1.35	Watch
	3.41	1.35
	4.25	1.23	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.36	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)	1.35 ↑ (1.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
28.8%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
71.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 43. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 58.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 2.

Ugo Carabelli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Etcheverry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Etcheverry is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Ben Shelton - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
08.08.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Umag
25.07.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Llamas Ruiz P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 ?W?L?
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2
ATP Challenger
13.08.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2
18.03.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2
10.03.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2
10.11.21	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2
27.07.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2
ITF Tournaments
01.03.20	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry