Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.65	2.36
	1.62	2.29	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.54	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	2.26 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58.6%

Bu Yunchaokete
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 60. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 73.

Ugo Carabelli is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yunchaokete has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yunchaokete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ugo Carabelli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francesco Passaro	Passaro F. retired ✺
15.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?WWLL

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