Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Francisco Comesana

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.86	2.02
	1.73	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.38)	2.07 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
54.2%

Francisco Comesana
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Francisco Comesana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Comesana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Comesana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	0%	19.4%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Francisco Comesana Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 28 - 80%). Comesana will win (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 66.7% – 93.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Ugo Carabelli (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Comesana (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 48. Comesana is ranked ATP: 64.

Ugo Carabelli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Comesana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Francisco Comesana - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- Francisco Comesana
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Nicolas Kicker - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Francis Tiafoe - Francisco Comesana	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Patrick Kypson - Francisco Comesana	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Ben Shelton - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

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