Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Jaime Faria		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	7	1.1	Watch
	7	1.1	Watch
	6.6	1.11	Watch
	6	1.13	Watch
	7.45	1.1	Watch
	6.66	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.79 ↑ (5.5)	1.11 ↓ (1.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
14%

Andrey Rublev
86%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

82.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jaime Faria - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rublev will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Rublev (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 151. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.

Now, both players are in good form.

Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rublev is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Alexander Blockx - Jaime Faria	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Arthur Cazaux - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
14.01.26	Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Benjamin Hassan - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jaime Faria - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 W?WWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Andrey Rublev	0:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
10.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Andrey Rublev - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Flavio Cobolli - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

Jaime Faria - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide