Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.38	2.9
	1.39	3.12
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.38	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	2.97 ↓ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
68.3%

Daniel Altmaier
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.1%	0%	41.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Altmaier will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Altmaier is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcaraz Garfia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Recent matches Altmaier is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
04.09.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
03.09.20	Benjamin Bonzi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
02.09.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
29.08.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Challenger
04.09.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
03.09.20	Daniel Altmaier - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
01.09.20	Tommy Robredo - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
24.08.20	Daniel Altmaier - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
19.08.20	Daniel Altmaier - Micaela Moroni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL

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