Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Daniel Altmaier		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.61	1.56
	2.46	1.52	Watch
	2.60	1.50	Watch
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.50	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.74)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
37.8%

Luciano Darderi
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Altmaier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Altmaier - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Darderi (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 60. Darderi is ranked ATP: 18.

Altmaier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Darderi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Altmaier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altmaier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.87%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Alex Molcan - Daniel Altmaier	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Zizou Bergs	Altmaier D. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WL?WL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.26	Luciano Darderi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
25.06.26	Luciano Darderi - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Belgrade 2
04.11.24	Luciano Darderi - Daniel Altmaier	0:2
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Daniel Altmaier	2:0
03.09.20	Daniel Altmaier - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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