Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Carlos Taberner		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.82	2.06
	1.90	1.81	Watch
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)	2.01 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
53.5%

Luka Mikrut
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Carlos Taberner - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Taberner will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlos Taberner will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 104. Mikrut is ranked ATP: 239.

Recent performances by Taberner have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mikrut is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Taberner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Taberner - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Luka Mikrut - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Marco Trungelliti - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Luka Pavlovic - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Carlos Taberner	Dedura D. retired ✺
02.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Carlos Taberner - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?LW
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

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