Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Christian Garin

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.3	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.33
	3.23	1.31	Watch
			Watch
	3.27	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	1.3 (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
27.9%

Christian Garin
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gonzalo Bueno - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bueno will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Garin will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bueno: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gonzalo Bueno will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 218. Garin is ranked ATP: 104.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Garin is considered a favorite.

We predict that Garin will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Vilius Gaubas - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Bueno G. retired ✺
24.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WW?LW
- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Ivan Gakhov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Timofey Skatov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Lautaro Midon - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
26.10.25	Christian Garin - Daniel Vallejo	Garin C. retired ✺
25.10.25	Mariano Navone - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WW??W

Gonzalo Bueno - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide