Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Casper Ruud		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.19	4.5
	1.19	4.9
	1.18	4.75
	1.2	5.21
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.17	5.1	Watch
	1.18	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.25)	4.82 ↑ (3.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
80.2%

Matteo Arnaldi
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Casper Ruud - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ruud is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ruud is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Casper Ruud - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
09.04.23	Casper Ruud - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Benoit Paire - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
24.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Daniel Evans - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
18.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW

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