Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Daniel Evans		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.07	1.76
	2.05	1.77
	2.09	1.82
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.17	1.69	Watch
	2.08	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
45.7%

Matteo Arnaldi
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	0%	77.4%

Daniel Evans - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Evans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnaldi is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaldi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Daniel Evans - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Alexei Popyrin - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.23	Borna Gojo - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW

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