Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Final

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Daniil Medvedev		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.77	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.3	3.7	Watch
	1.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	3.59 ↑ (3.27)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
73.6%

Brandon Nakashima
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Nakashima (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 13. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

Medvedev has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Medvedev is a strong favorite.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Brisbane
10.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
18.12.25	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWT
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Quentin Halys - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
05.11.25	Brandon Nakashima - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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