Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2023, Friday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.61	2.33
	1.63	2.3
	1.63	2.4
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.62	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)	2.34 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
59.3%

Brandon Nakashima
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.4%	0%	40.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Nakashima will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 42.4% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Davidovich Fokina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Yibing Wu - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Oscar Otte - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	John Isner - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
01.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Daniel Altmaier - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide 2
09.01.23	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2

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