Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril (Portugal), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estoril (Portugal) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	SportKlub
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	16:00	Premier Sport 3
France	16:00	Eurosport 2
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Serbia	16:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub


	Christian Garin		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.48
	2.71	1.52
	2.71	1.52
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.94)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
36.2%

Hubert Hurkacz
63.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.2%	0%	29.8%

Christian Garin - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 33 - 70.2%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 14 - 29.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 57.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Garin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hurkacz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Hurkacz to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Estoril
05.04.24	Christian Garin - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Arthur Fils - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Jurij Rodionov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Estoril
05.04.24	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Jan Choinski - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Sebastian Korda - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
28.06.18	Hubert Hurkacz - Christian Garin	0:3

Christian Garin - Hubert Hurkacz