Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Sebastian Korda		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.52	1.58
	2.53	1.59
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.48	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
38.7%

Hubert Hurkacz
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Hubert Hurkacz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sebastian Korda - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 74.1% – 97.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Korda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hurkacz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hurkacz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Korda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Sebastian Korda - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
29.02.24	Sebastian Korda - Andrey Rublev	Korda S. retired ✺
28.02.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLW?W
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Gael Monfils - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
29.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
31.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Shanghai
14.10.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP Australian Open
21.01.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Korda	2:3
ATP Delray Beach
13.01.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Korda	2:0

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