Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Christian Garin		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.81	1.97	Watch
	1.86	2.02
	1.82	1.94	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.78	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.67)	1.97 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
51.9%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Christian Garin - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 89. Tirante is ranked ATP: 92.

In recent matches, Tirante has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Christian Garin - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Christian Garin - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.26	Christian Garin - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Christian Garin - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LLLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Hyeon Chung - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Christian Garin - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide