Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:10	ESPN
Belgium	01:10	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:10	HBO Max
Brazil	21:10	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:10	HBO Max
Canada	19:10	RDS App
Colombia	19:10	ESPN
Croatia	01:10	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:10	HBO Max
Denmark	01:10	HBO Max
Finland	02:10	HBO Max
France	01:10	HBO Max
Hungary	01:10	HBO Max
Mexico	18:10	ESPN
Moldova	02:10	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:10	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:10	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:10	HBO Max
Norway	01:10	HBO Max
Peru	19:10	ESPN
Poland	01:10	HBO Max
Romania	02:10	HBO Max
Serbia	01:10	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:10	HBO Max
Spain	01:10	HBO Max
Sweden	01:10	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:10	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	19:10	ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:10	ESPN


	Christian Garin		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.77	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
36.4%

Luciano Darderi
63.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	0%	73.9%

Christian Garin - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Darderi will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Garin (votes: 7 - 35%). Darderi (votes: 13 - 65%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Darderi (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Garin (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Darderi (votes: 14 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 78. Darderi is ranked ATP: 24.

Garin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darderi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Christian Garin - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.26	Christian Garin - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Christian Garin - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Daniel Vallejo - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Luciano Darderi - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
05.11.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Christian Garin	2:0

Christian Garin - Luciano Darderi