Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Christian Garin		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.97	1.9
	1.67	2.10	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.63	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
52.4%

Ignacio Buse
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Christian Garin - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Buse will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 105. Buse is ranked ATP: 110.

Now, both players are in good form.

Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Daniel Vallejo - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Alex Barrena - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

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