Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AIX EN PROVENCE (FRANCE), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Tommy Paul		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.46	2.65
	1.53	2.67
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.48	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	2.63 ↓ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
64.2%

David Goffin
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	0%	25.9%

Tommy Paul - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Goffin will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Tommy Paul - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
04.05.23	Tommy Paul - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
08.04.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	David Goffin - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
04.05.23	Dan Added - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Mikael Ymer - David Goffin	Canceled ✺
02.05.23	Benoit Paire - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WW?WL

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