Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AIX EN PROVENCE (FRANCE), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Tommy Paul		Andy Murray

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.48
	1.59	2.51
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
60.2%

Andy Murray
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tommy Paul - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Murray will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murray is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Challenger
06.05.23	Tommy Paul - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
05.05.23	Tommy Paul - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
04.05.23	Tommy Paul - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
08.04.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL
- Andy Murray
ATP Challenger
06.05.23	Andy Murray - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
05.05.23	Andy Murray - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
04.05.23	Andy Murray - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Andy Murray - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
11.11.21	Andy Murray - Tommy Paul	1:2

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