Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Christopher OConnell		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.25	1.35	Watch
	3.21	1.39
	3.12	1.39	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.17	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.86)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
29.8%

Matteo Berrettini
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Christopher OConnell - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. OConnell will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Berrettini will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 79. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 45.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Berrettini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Tokyo
28.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired ✺
24.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.24	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Blockx	2:1
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?WWLW

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