Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.75	2.09	Watch
	1.76	2.15
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.75	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
54.6%

Gabriel Diallo
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Diallo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 64. Diallo is ranked ATP: 105.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLL?
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Gabriel Diallo - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Gabriel Diallo	Oliveira G. retired ✺
24.09.24	Ji Sung Nam - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWL?W

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