Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Colton Smith		James Duckworth

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.26	3.75	Watch
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.32	3.32	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.36	3.23	Watch
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.64)	3.39 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
72%

James Duckworth
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colton Smith's performance.

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Duckworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colton Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Colton Smith - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Duckworth will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 200. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 89.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Duckworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Houston
30.03.25	Liam Draxl - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Evan Zhu - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Nuno Borges - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Colton Smith - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	James Duckworth - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	James Duckworth - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	James Duckworth - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	James Duckworth - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

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