Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Nuno Borges		Colton Smith

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.54	2.6
	1.51	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	2.49 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
62.3%

Colton Smith
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Nuno Borges - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Smith will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 36. Smith is ranked ATP: 261.

Recent matches Borges is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borges will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.01%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Nuno Borges - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Colton Smith - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Alex Michelsen - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Colton Smith - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Colton Smith - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW

Nuno Borges - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide