Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Constant Lestienne		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.62	2.2
			Watch
	1.9	1.92
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.84	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.57)	2.07 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
54.5%

Gauthier Onclin
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-5%)

Constant Lestienne - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Onclin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Onclin (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Onclin (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lestienne is ranked ATP: 188. Onclin is ranked ATP: 201.

Lestienne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Onclin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lestienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lestienne could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Gauthier Onclin - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Constant Lestienne - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Constant Lestienne - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.25	Constant Lestienne - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Constant Lestienne - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Constant Lestienne - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL

Constant Lestienne - Gauthier Onclin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide