Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Corentin Denolly		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.41	1.59
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.13)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
39.8%

Daniel Michalski
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Corentin Denolly - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michalski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 302. Michalski is ranked ATP: 324.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Denolly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Denolly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
20.05.25	Corentin Denolly - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Corentin Denolly - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Corentin Denolly - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Oliver Crawford - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Tristan McCormick	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLL?
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
20.05.25	Daniel Michalski - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Daniel Michalski - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Daniel Michalski - Obrad Markovski	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Daniel Michalski - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Jan Klimas - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.11.22	Corentin Denolly - Daniel Michalski	0:2
ATP Challenger
06.06.21	Daniel Michalski - Corentin Denolly	1:2

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