Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Corentin Denolly		Gerard Campana Lee

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.4	Watch
	2.59	1.45	Watch
			Watch
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.19)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
36%

Gerard Campana Lee
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.

Gerard Campana Lee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gerard Campana Lee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerard Campana Lee than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gerard Campana Lee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Corentin Denolly - Gerard Campana Lee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 320. Campana Lee is ranked ATP: 593.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Campana Lee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Campana Lee might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Sandro Kopp	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Matthew Donald - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Carles Hernandez - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Gerard Campana Lee
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Matei Varbanciu	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Radu Mihai Papoe - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Noah Regas Luis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW

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