Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Corentin Moutet		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.67	2.13	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.81	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)	2.63 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
63.7%

Reilly Opelka
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reilly Opelka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Moutet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reilly Opelka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 32. Opelka is ranked ATP: 52.

In recent matches, Moutet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Opelka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moutet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Paris
26.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Aleksandar Vukic	Vukic A. walkover ✺
25.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Reilly Opelka - Corentin Moutet	2:1
ATP Lyon
21.05.19	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	2:1

Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide