Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Cori Gauff		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.53	2.41	Watch
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cori Gauff
64.4%

Jasmine Paolini
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cori Gauff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	0%	22.7%

Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Gauff will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Paolini will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gauff: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cori Gauff will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gauff is ranked WTA: 3. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gauff won 2.

Gauff has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paolini's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gauff won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cori Gauff
WTA Finals
02.11.25	Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
12.10.25	Jessica Pegula - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Laura Siegemund - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Shuai Zhang - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Finals
02.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
WTA Ningbo
18.10.25	Elena Rybakina - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
11.10.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wuhan
11.10.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff	2:1
WTA Roma
17.05.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Stuttgart
19.04.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.23	Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff	0:2
WTA Adelaide
22.02.21	Jasmine Paolini - Cori Gauff	1:2

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