Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.91
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.41	2.8	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)	2.8 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
66.5%

Bernard Tomic
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalibor Svrcina's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalibor Svrcina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dalibor Svrcina - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Tomic (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 91. Tomic is ranked ATP: 168.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Svrcina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Svrcina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.45%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Yibing Wu - Dalibor Svrcina	Wu Y. retired ✺
30.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 L?WWL
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Bernard Tomic - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2

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