Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Bernard Tomic		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
			Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	1.45	2.64	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2)	1.94 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
50.5%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikoloz Basilashvili could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Bernard Tomic - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bernard Tomic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 165. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 114.

Tomic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Basilashvili has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.95%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Omar Jasika - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tsung-Hao Huang - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Yaojie Zeng - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Rei Sakamoto - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	James McCabe - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLW?

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