Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.69	2.21
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	1.69	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
51%

Bernard Tomic
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 104. Tomic is ranked ATP: 169.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Basilashvili won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLW?
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic	0:2
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Bernard Tomic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide