Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VICENZA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 31 May 2023, Wednesday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2	1.77
	2.08	1.78
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.19)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
45.8%

Luca Nardi
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dalibor Svrcina - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Nardi will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svrcina: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Svrcina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Svrcina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
29.05.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
22.05.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
29.05.23	Luciano Darderi - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Luca Nardi - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Luca Nardi - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

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