Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.86	2.04
	1.84	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.73)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
51.8%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Dalibor Svrcina - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 116. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 124.

Recent performances by Svrcina have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Budkov Kjaer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Felix Gill	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Reilly Opelka	Opelka R. Retired ✺
21.04.26	Moez Echargui - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLW?W

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