Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Daniil Medvedev		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.38	3.55
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.36	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.27)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
71.8%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 10. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 140.

Medvedev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Budkov Kjaer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 74.19%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Reilly Opelka	Opelka R. Retired ✺
21.04.26	Moez Echargui - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W?WWL

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